Aptus October Buffer Etf Performance

OCTB Etf   25.63  0.07  0.27%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.37, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aptus October's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aptus October is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aptus October Buffer are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Aptus October is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Aptus October Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,507  in Aptus October Buffer on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  56.00  from holding Aptus October Buffer or generate 2.23% return on investment over 90 days. Aptus October Buffer is currently generating 0.037% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.3933% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than Aptus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aptus October is expected to generate 2.46 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.9 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Aptus October Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aptus Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.63 90 days 25.63 
about 28.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptus October to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.93 (This Aptus October Buffer probability density function shows the probability of Aptus Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aptus October has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Aptus October average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aptus October Buffer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aptus October Buffer has an alpha of 0.0066, implying that it can generate a 0.006559 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aptus October Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aptus October

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptus October Buffer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptus October's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3125.7026.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2125.6025.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3125.7126.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5125.7125.91
Details

Aptus October Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptus October is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptus October's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptus October Buffer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptus October within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

About Aptus October Performance

By analyzing Aptus October's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Aptus October's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Aptus October has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aptus October has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.